League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Newport

McEachran (64')
Rose (43'), Khouri (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (5'), Whitmore (61'), Baker (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Newport County
62.84% ( 0.11)	21.98% ( -0.01)	15.17% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.97% (

-0.14)

51.02% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.11% (

-0.12)

72.88% (

0.12)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

-0.01)

15.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.28% (

-0.02)

44.72% (

0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.14% (

-0.23)

45.86% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.39% (

-0.18)

81.61% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 62.83%

Newport County 15.17%

Draw 21.98%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 62.83%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.17%