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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 48.44% ( | 26.3% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.46% ( | 55.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( | 76.72% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( | 22.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( | 56.75% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( | 37.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( | 74.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.26% |