League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Tshimanga (90' pen., 90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Browne (56', 56')
Lewis (6'), Lewis (6'), Lewis (6'), O'Toole (45'), O'Toole (45'), Smith (63'), Reeves (90+3')
O'Toole (90+3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
37.52% ( 0.52)	27.25% ( -0.14)	35.24% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61% (

0.54)

55.39% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41% (

0.44)

76.59% (

-0.43)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.47% (

0.57)

28.53% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.69% (

0.71)

64.32% (

-0.7)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

0.03)

29.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98% (

0.04)

66.03% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 37.51%

AFC Wimbledon 35.24%

Draw 27.24%

Swindon Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.51%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.24%