Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT County Ground

Kabongo Tshimanga 90'
Kabongo Tshimanga 90'+5'

Joe Lewis 6'
Joe Lewis 6'
Joe Lewis 6'
John-Joe O'Toole 45'
John-Joe O'Toole 45'
Marcus Browne 56'
Marcus Browne 56'
Alistair Smith 63'
Jake Reeves 90'+3'
John-Joe O'Toole 90'+3'

Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

L
D
D
D
D
W

League Two

L
D
D
D
D
W

Last game

Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm

Morecambe 1 - 0 Swindon

Goals scored

71

Top scorer

Harry Smith

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

D
D
W
L
W
L

League Two

D
D
W
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm

Walsall 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Mathew Stevens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 37.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 27.25%

AFC Wimbledon 35.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

50.09% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.61% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 55.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 23.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 76.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 10.37% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 89.64%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 28.53%

Over 1.5 35.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 64.32% ▲ (+0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 29.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 33.98% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 66.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 37.51%

Draw 27.24%

AFC Wimbledon 35.24%

Swindon Town

1-0 @ 10.7%

2-1 @ 8.1%

2-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.39%

3-0 @ 2.81%

3-2 @ 2.04%

4-1 @ 1.06%

Other @ 2.7%

Total : 37.51%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.91%

0-0 @ 8.54%

2-2 @ 4.89%

Other @ 0.91%

Total : 27.24%

AFC Wimbledon

0-1 @ 10.3%

1-2 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 6.21%

1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.5%

2-3 @ 1.97%

Other @ 3.33%

Total : 35.24%

Head to Head

Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Kingsmeadow

James Tilley 56'

Harry Smith 10'
Will Wright 88'
Ryan Delaney 90'+3'

Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 1

FT County Ground

Aaron Drinan 51'
Udoka Godwin-Malife 60'
Dawson Devoy 71'
Dawson Devoy 84'
Udoka Godwin-Malife 90'+1'
Dawson Devoy 90'+7'

Joe Lewis 2'
Joe Lewis 87'

Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT Kingsmeadow

Omar Bugiel 6'
Josh Neufville 13'
Armani Little 59'
Ali Al-Hamadi 79'
Ali Al-Hamadi 90'+2'
Ali Al-Hamadi 90'+3'

Frazer Blake-Tracy 13'

Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm

1

5

HT : 1 3

FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Aaron Pierre 8'

Luke Jephcott 16'
Jacob Wakeling 18'
Luke Jephcott 32'
Thomas Clayton 61'
Ronan Darcy 90'+2'

Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm

4

1

HT : 3 0

FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium

Joe Pigott 20'
Will Nightingale 26'
Ayoub Assal 44'
Joe Pigott 54'
Shane McLoughlin 90'+3'

Jonathan Grounds 20'
Jordan Lyden 26'
Brett Pitman 45'+2'
Tyler Smith 79'

Form Data

Morecambe 1 - 0 Swindon

Swindon 0 - 0 Accrington

Swindon 3 - 3 Cheltenham

Doncaster 2 - 2 Swindon

Swindon 2 - 2 Salford City

Walsall 0 - 1 Swindon

Walsall 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon 2 - 2 Barrow

Carlisle 1 - 2 AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon 1 - 2 Cheltenham

AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Notts County

Morecambe 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon