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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 51.2% ( | 23.71% | 25.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( | 45.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( | 67.52% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( | 17.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% ( | 48.31% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( | 31.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% ( | 68.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.09% |