League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 4
Fleetwood

Woods (52')
Grant (39'), Ward (45+3'), Batty (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Helm (9'), Patterson (62'), Grant (85' og.), Hunt (90')
Wiredu (27'), Marsh (31')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Bradford
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 2-4 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Fleetwood Town
32.1% ( -2.53)	27.15% ( -0.27)	40.75% ( 2.8)

Both teams to score 49.76% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47% (

0.58)

55.52% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

0.47)

76.7% (

-0.47)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

-1.4)

32.06% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

-1.62)

68.53% (

1.62)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

1.85)

26.77% (

-1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

2.38)

62.05% (

-2.38)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 32.1%

Fleetwood Town 40.74%

Draw 27.15%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.1%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.74%