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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Doncaster
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Sterry (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (5')
Harbottle (22'), Tilley (40')
Reeves (28')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawAFC Wimbledon
48.11% (-0.189 -0.19)26.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)25.56% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.42% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)55.43% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.074000000000002 0.07)76.62% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)56.9% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (0.205 0.2)37.07% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (0.204 0.2)73.85% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 48.11%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.56%
    Draw 26.32%
Doncaster RoversDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Doncaster
Stevens (27')
Hutchinson (8'), Kelly (57'), Bugiel (80')

Bailey (66'), McGrath (76'), Sharp (80'), Senior (88'), Clifton (90+4')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Doncaster
1-0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (28'), Little (46'), Tilley (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Doncaster
Al-Hamadi (45+2', 63')
Bugiel (23'), Lemonheigh-Evans (27'), Little (39'), Biler (56'), Bass (90+7')
Biler (72'), Bugiel (90+5')

Westbrooke (41'), Senior (45')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Doncaster
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Biggins (27'), Miller (32')
Davison (18')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Doncaster
Young-Coombes (76', 84')
Maghoma (69'), Davison (86')
Rowe (86'), Williams (90+4')
Clayton (2'), Tomlin (39'), Anderson (56'), Williams (66')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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