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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Doncaster
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Sterry (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (5')
Harbottle (22'), Tilley (40')
Reeves (28')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawAFC Wimbledon
48.11% (-0.189 -0.19)26.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)25.56% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.42% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)55.43% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.074000000000002 0.07)76.62% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)56.9% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (0.205 0.2)37.07% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (0.204 0.2)73.85% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 48.11%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.56%
    Draw 26.32%
Doncaster RoversDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Doncaster
Stevens (27')
Hutchinson (8'), Kelly (57'), Bugiel (80')

Bailey (66'), McGrath (76'), Sharp (80'), Senior (88'), Clifton (90+4')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Doncaster
1-0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (28'), Little (46'), Tilley (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Doncaster
Al-Hamadi (45+2', 63')
Bugiel (23'), Lemonheigh-Evans (27'), Little (39'), Biler (56'), Bass (90+7')
Biler (72'), Bugiel (90+5')

Westbrooke (41'), Senior (45')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Doncaster
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Biggins (27'), Miller (32')
Davison (18')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Doncaster
Young-Coombes (76', 84')
Maghoma (69'), Davison (86')
Rowe (86'), Williams (90+4')
Clayton (2'), Tomlin (39'), Anderson (56'), Williams (66')
rhs 2.0


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