Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.