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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Gillingham

Cheltenham
1 - 1
Gillingham

Stubbs (22')
Taylor (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morgan (2')
Hutton (57'), Nevitt (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Cheltenham
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Gillingham

These two sides are separated by only three points and one place in the League Two table, while they have also drawn each of their past two meetings, leading us to expect another draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawGillingham
31.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 27.33% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 41.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)56.41% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.061 -0.06)77.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)33.04% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)69.62% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)26.88% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.055 -0.05)62.19% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 31.36%
    Gillingham 41.3%
    Draw 27.33%
Cheltenham TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.36%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.3%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Gillingham

Cheltenham Town
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gillingham
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Gillingham
2-2
Cheltenham
Clarke (24'), Lapslie (68')
Young (36'), Miller (60')
Jude-Boyd (32'), Bakare (90+1')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cheltenham
2-2
Gillingham
Wright (40'), Etete (78')
Hutchinson (57'), Long (85')
Oliver (14'), Reeves (59')
Oliver (88')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Gillingham
0-2
Cheltenham

Ehmer (53')
Long (30'), May (60')
Flinders (69')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cheltenham
1-0
Gillingham
Pollock (11')
Joseph (87')

Tucker (54'), O'Keefe (80'), Ehmer (81')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
First Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')
Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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