League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 3
Cheltenham

Hemmings (45' pen.), Agius (90+5')
Williams (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Miller (22'), Thomas (78'), Dulson (86')
Bennett (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Cheltenham Town
48.3% ( 0.03)	26.25% ( -0.02)	25.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.81% (

0.05)

55.2% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57% (

0.04)

76.43% (

-0.04)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

0.04)

22.88% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

0.05)

56.63% (

-0.05)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.97% (

0.01)

37.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.18% (

0.01)

73.82% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 48.29%

Cheltenham Town 25.46%

Draw 26.24%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 48.29%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.46%