League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Long (14'), Demetriou (90+3')
Demetriou (31'), Cooney (58'), Agius (87'), Lankester (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luker (38'), McEachran (57'), Rodgers (62')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Grimsby Town
36.18% ( -1.7)	26.41% ( 0.47)	37.41% ( 1.23)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

-2.01)

51.94% (

2.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

-1.76)

73.69% (

1.77)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

-1.91)

27.67% (

1.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

-2.53)

63.22% (

2.53)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

-0.24)

26.95% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

-0.31)

62.29% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 36.18%

Grimsby Town 37.41%

Draw 26.41%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.18%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.41%