AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Barrow
Bradford City
Bradford City
Bromley
Bromley
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
MK Dons
Morecambe
Morecambe
Newport County
Newport County
Notts County
Notts County
Port Vale
Port Vale
Salford City
Salford City
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Notts County

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Notts County

Neufville (8')
Harbottle (32'), Johnson (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macarai (25'), Robertson (72'), Platt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County
35.31% (-0.387 -0.39)27.06% (0.141 0.14)37.63% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.68% (-0.478 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35% (-0.591 -0.59)54.65% (0.592 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.491 -0.49)75.98% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.52799999999999 -0.53)29.51% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (-0.649 -0.65)65.52% (0.651 0.65)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)28.11% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)63.78% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.31%
    Notts County 37.63%
    Draw 27.05%
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.63%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County

AFC Wimbledon
68.0%
Draw
16.0%
Notts County
16.0%
25
Head to Head
May 10, 2025 8pm
Notts County
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Macarai (65'), Jones (90+5')
Jatta (90+5')
Harbottle (59')
Hippolyte (43'), Neufville (64'), Tilley (76'), Bugiel (84')
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Notts County
Lewis (21'), Smith (35')
Bugiel (76')

Palmer (70')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Platt (67')
Macarai (13'), Platt (64'), Abbott (90+1')

Harbottle (9'), Furlong (90')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

O'Brien (24'), Cameron (60')
Rawlinson (80' og.), Balmer (85')
O'Toole (15'), Tilley (20'), Reeves (33'), Bugiel (55'), Bass (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
4-2
Notts County
Reeves (29' pen., 86' pen.), Al-Hamadi (41', 90+2')
Lewis (22'), Currie (38')
Langstaff (62'), Nemane (67')
Jones (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!