League Two

League Two | 2nd Leg

May 17, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Notts County

(AFC Wimbledon win 2-0 on aggregate)

Neufville (8')
Harbottle (32'), Johnson (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Macarai (25'), Robertson (72'), Platt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Notts County
35.31% ( -0.39)	27.06% ( 0.14)	37.63% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 50.68% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.35% (

-0.59)

54.65% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.02% (

-0.49)

75.98% (

0.49)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

-0.53)

29.51% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

-0.65)

65.52% (

0.65)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89% (

-0.14)

28.11% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22% (

-0.17)

63.78% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 35.31%

Notts County 37.63%

Draw 27.05%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.31%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.63%