League Two
May 17, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Josh Neufville 8' goal
  • Riley Harbottle 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Johnson 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 25'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 72'
  • yellowcard Matthew Platt 90'

AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
Notts County 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mathew Stevens

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
Notts County 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 35.31% (-0.39)
Draw 27.06% (+0.15)
Notts County 37.63% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.35% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 54.65% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 24.02% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 75.98% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 10.74% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 89.26% (+0.31)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 70.49% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 29.51% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 34.48% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 65.52% (+0.66)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 71.89% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 28.11% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 36.22% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 63.78% (+0.18)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 35.31%
Draw 27.05%
Notts County 37.63%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.12% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.29% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
Notts County
0-1 @ 10.52% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.63%

Head to Head

League Two
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Lewis Macarai 65' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Alassana Jatta 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Myles Hippolyte 43'
  • goal Riley Harbottle 59'
  • yellowcard Josh Neufville 64'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 76'
  • yellowcard Omar Bugiel 84'
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Joe Lewis 21' goal
  • Alistair Smith 35' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 70'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Lewis Macarai 13' yellowcard
  • Matthew Platt 64' yellowcard
  • Matthew Platt 67' goal
  • George Abbott 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riley Harbottle 9'
  • yellowcard James Furlong 90'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Jim O'Brien 24' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cameron 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 15'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 20'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 33'
  • yellowcard Omar Bugiel 55'
  • goal Connell Rawlinson 80' (OG)
  • goal Kofi Balmer 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Bass 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Joe Lewis 22' yellowcard
  • Jake Reeves 29' goal
  • Jack Currie 38' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 41' goal
  • Jake Reeves 86' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 45'+4'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 62'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 67'
League Two
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Robert Milsom 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Elliott 9'
  • yellowcard Sean Rigg 59'
  • goal Andy Barcham 83'