Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.