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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
1 - 3
Notts County

Muldoon (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abbott (33'), Grant (51', 76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Cheltenham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
32.66% (0.062000000000005 0.06)24.91% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)42.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.327 0.33)46.01% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.31 0.31)68.31% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.19600000000001 0.2)26.95% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.257 0.26)62.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.143 0.14)21.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (0.216 0.22)54.84% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 32.66%
    Notts County 42.43%
    Draw 24.91%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.43%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Notts County

Harrogate Town
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Notts County
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Notts County
1-0
Harrogate
Jatta (58')
Tsaroulla (88')

Folarin (72'), Weaver (73'), Daly (83')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
3-0
Harrogate
Langstaff (45+2' pen.), Jones (75'), O'Brien (89')
Cameron (48'), Baldwin (56'), O'Brien (80')

Thomson (45+5')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (7'), Odoh (32'), Daly (68')
Cornelius (26'), Ramsay (65')
Jones (67')
O'Brien (51'), Chicksen (54'), Baldwin (57')
Aug 2, 2020 3pm
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')
Apr 7, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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