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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
1 - 3
Notts County

Muldoon (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abbott (33'), Grant (51', 76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Cheltenham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Notts County

A closely-contested battle between one of League Two's in-form home teams against the second-best away side in the division is set to take place. Notts County will be keen to build up some positive momentum ahead of a possible playoff campaign, but we can see a buoyant Harrogate outfit claiming at least a share of the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
32.66% (0.062000000000005 0.06) 24.91% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 42.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.327 0.33)46.01% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.31 0.31)68.31% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.19600000000001 0.2)26.95% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.257 0.26)62.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.143 0.14)21.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (0.216 0.22)54.84% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 32.66%
    Notts County 42.43%
    Draw 24.91%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.43%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Notts County

Harrogate Town
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Notts County
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Notts County
1-0
Harrogate
Jatta (58')
Tsaroulla (88')

Folarin (72'), Weaver (73'), Daly (83')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
3-0
Harrogate
Langstaff (45+2' pen.), Jones (75'), O'Brien (89')
Cameron (48'), Baldwin (56'), O'Brien (80')

Thomson (45+5')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (7'), Odoh (32'), Daly (68')
Cornelius (26'), Ramsay (65')
Jones (67')
O'Brien (51'), Chicksen (54'), Baldwin (57')
Aug 2, 2020 3pm
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')
Apr 7, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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