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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 32.66% ( | 24.91% ( | 42.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( | 46.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( | 68.31% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( | 26.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( | 21.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( | 54.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.43% |