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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 34.69% ( | 26.59% ( | 38.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( | 74.41% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( | 64.87% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( | 26.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( | 61.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.71% |