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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Harrogate
3 - 2
Tranmere

Taylor (33'), Cursons (58'), Fox (75')
Sims (55'), Cursons (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hendry (61'), Patrick (78')
Turnbull (50'), Finley (74'), Hendry (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawTranmere Rovers
43.02% (0.704 0.7)27.29% (-0.11 -0.11)29.68% (-0.602 -0.6)
Both teams to score 48.37% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (0.17299999999999 0.17)56.83% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (0.138 0.14)77.76% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.446 0.45)26.16% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.599 0.6)61.24% (-0.605 -0.61)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)34.48% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.384 -0.38)71.19% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 43.01%
    Tranmere Rovers 29.68%
    Draw 27.29%
Harrogate TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.01%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.68%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Tranmere
2-1
Harrogate
Dennis (25'), Patrick (67')
Saunders (63'), Dennis (90+2')
Daly (14')
Weaver (35'), Sims (63')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Harrogate
0-2
Tranmere

Gibson (64')
Jolley (54'), Davies (70')
McAlear (80'), McGee (83')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Tranmere
3-0
Harrogate
Norris (24'), Taylor (26'), Morris (89')
Norris (53'), Leake (70')

Mattock (54')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Tranmere
1-1
Harrogate
Oxley (36' og.)
Armstrong (4')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Harrogate
1-1
Tranmere
Daly (37')
Turnbull (57')
> Preview