League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Ellis Taylor 33' goal
  • Toby Sims 55' yellowcard
  • Tom Cursons 58' goal
  • Tom Cursons 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Fox 75' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Turnbull 50'
  • goal Regan Hendry 61'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 74'
  • yellowcard Regan Hendry 75'
  • goal Omari Patrick 78'

Harrogate Town vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
Harrogate 1 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Josh March

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
Tranmere 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result

Harrogate Town 43.02% (+0.05)
Draw 27.29% (-0.03)
Tranmere Rovers 29.68% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.37% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.17% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 56.83% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 22.24% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.76% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.65% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 90.34% (-0.05)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.83% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.16% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 38.75% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.24% (-0.09)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 65.51% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.48% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.8% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 43.01%
Draw 27.29%
Tranmere Rovers 29.68%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.63% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.62% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.29%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.86% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.68%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Prenton Park
  • Kristian Dennis 25' goal
  • Harvey Saunders 63' yellowcard
  • Omari Patrick 67' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal James Daly 14'
  • yellowcard Simon Weaver 35'
  • yellowcard Toby Sims 63'
League Two Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Liam Gibson 64' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Jolley 54'
  • goal Tom Davies 70'
  • yellowcard Reece McAlear 80'
  • yellowcard Luke McGee 83'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Prenton Park
  • Luke Norris 24' goal
  • Sam Taylor 26' goal
  • Luke Norris 53' yellowcard
  • Jake Leake 70' yellowcard
  • Kieron Morris 89' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 54'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Prenton Park
  • Mark Oxley 36' goal
  • goal Luke Armstrong 4'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Matty Daly 37' goal
  • goal Jordan Turnbull 57'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh McPake 18' yellowcard
  • Lewis Warrington 49' goal
  • Peter Clarke 60' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 65' goal
  • Joe Murphy 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Armstrong 25'
  • redcard Luke Armstrong 27'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fallowfield 65'