Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.