League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
3 - 1
Fleetwood

Moon (56'), Taylor (61'), Cursons (90+6')
Asare (10'), Fox (78'), Bilongo (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moore (51')
Moore (19'), Bennett (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 2-2 Harrogate
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Barrow
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
37.54% ( 3.01)	25.52% ( -0.07)	36.94% ( -2.94)

Both teams to score 55.93% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.98% (

0.53)

48.01% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81% (

0.49)

70.18% (

-0.49)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

1.98)

25.05% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

2.66)

59.72% (

-2.66)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62% (

-1.33)

25.38% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

-1.87)

60.18% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 37.54%

Fleetwood Town 36.94%

Draw 25.51%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.54%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.62) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.94%