League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Zico Asare 10' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 56' goal
  • Ellis Taylor 61' goal
  • Ben Fox 78' yellowcard
  • Tom Cursons 90'+6' goal
  • Bryant Bilongo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kobei Moore 19'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bennett 48'
  • goal Kobei Moore 51'

Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Walsall 2 - 2 Harrogate
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Josh March

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Fleetwood 0 - 0 Barrow
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Matty Virtue

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result

Harrogate Town 37.54% (+3.02)
Draw 25.52% (-0.07)
Fleetwood Town 36.94% (-2.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93% (+0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.98% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 48.01% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 29.81% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 70.18% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 14.54% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 85.45% (-0.34)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.95% (+1.98)
Under 0.5 25.05% (-1.98)
Over 1.5 40.27% (+2.67)
Under 1.5 59.72% (-2.67)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.62% (-1.34)
Under 0.5 25.38% (+1.34)
Over 1.5 39.81% (-1.87)
Under 1.5 60.18% (+1.87)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 37.54%
Draw 25.51%
Fleetwood Town 36.94%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 8.8% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.43)
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.53)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.40)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.39)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 1.33% (+0.21)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 37.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.51%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.55)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.37)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.63)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.41)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 36.94%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Highbury Stadium
  • James Bolton 2' goal
  • James Bolton 2' goal
  • Brendan Wiredu 25' yellowcard
  • Brendan Wiredu 25' yellowcard
  • Finley Potter 77' yellowcard
  • Finley Potter 77' yellowcard
  • Danny Mayor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Danny Mayor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Josh March 8'
  • goal Josh March 8'
  • yellowcard Dean Cornelius 65'
  • yellowcard Dean Cornelius 65'