League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Harrogate3 - 1Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Walsall 2-2 Harrogate
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Barrow
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
57
We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Fleetwood Town
While it has been a turbulent campaign for Harrogate, they could secure their league status for another season this weekend and we expect them to take the game to Fleetwood in front of their home supporters. Weaver's men have been tough to crack at home since the turn of the year and we are tipping them to see off the inconsistent visitors, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
37.54% ( 3.01) | 25.52% ( -0.07) | 36.94% ( -2.94) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
