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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Notts County

Colchester
1 - 0
Notts County

Simpson (44')
Egbo (86'), Iandolo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Platt (77'), Bedeau (82'), McGoldrick (90+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 MK Dons
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNotts County
40.68% (0.956 0.96)26.82% (-0.16 -0.16)32.5% (-0.797 -0.8)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (0.462 0.46)54.13% (-0.463 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (0.384 0.38)75.55% (-0.386 -0.39)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.73399999999999 0.73)26.16% (-0.734 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (0.973 0.97)61.24% (-0.975 -0.98)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)31.08% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.352 -0.35)67.4% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.68%
    Notts County 32.5%
    Draw 26.82%
Colchester UnitedDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.137 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Notts County
1-1
Colchester
Grant (3')
Cundy (76')
Johnson (48' og.)
McDonnell (64'), Egbo (78')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Notts County
1-0
Colchester
Langstaff (54')
Jones (89')

Mingi (53'), Read (90+4'), Chilvers (90+2')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
5-4
Notts County
Chilvers (10'), Fevrier (31'), Read (38', 74'), McGeehan (58')
Egbo (21'), Tovide (68'), McGeehan (72'), Goodman (75')
McGeehan (79')
Austin (21'), Langstaff (48', 90+2'), Jones (67')
McGoldrick (14'), Baldwin (37'), Cameron (54')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Colchester
3-3
Notts County
Szmodics (8'), Mandron (45'), Pell (67' pen.)
Pell (90')
Stead (16'), Jones (19'), Dennis (32')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Notts County
0-0
Colchester
Jones (24'), Duffy (45'), Vaughan (74'), Hewitt (80')
Pell (64'), Jackson (86')