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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City

Notts County
1 - 3
Salford City

McGoldrick (67')
Palmer (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Platt (45+1' og.), N'Mai (53'), Garbutt (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Gillingham
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
51.55% (0.823 0.82)23.51% (-0.026 -0.03)24.94% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.726 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)44.42% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.568 -0.57)66.79% (0.571 0.57)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.087999999999994 0.09)17.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (0.152 0.15)47.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.95 -0.95)31.63% (0.951 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-1.106 -1.11)68.04% (1.11 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Salford City 24.94%
    Draw 23.51%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.268 0.27)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.94%

How you voted: Notts County vs Salford City

Notts County
67.6%
Draw
11.8%
Salford City
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Salford City
3-0
Notts County
McAleny (14'), Stockton (31', 54')
N'Mai (47')

Bedeau (86'), Jatta (90+2')
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Notts County
1-2
Salford City
Crowley (53')
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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