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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Salford City |
| 51.55% ( | 23.51% ( | 24.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( | 44.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( | 66.79% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( | 17.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% ( | 47.59% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( | 31.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.94% |