League Two Gameweek 42
Notts County
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City
  • David McGoldrick 67' goal
  • Matt Palmer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Platt 45'+1' (OG)
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 53'
  • goal Luke Garbutt 77'

Notts County vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Colchester 1 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Salford City 2 - 2 Gillingham
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result

Notts County 51.55% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 23.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Salford City 24.94% ▼ (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% ▼ (-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 44.42% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 33.2% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 3.5 66.79% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 4.5 16.94% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 4.5 83.06% ▲ (+0.42)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 82.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 17.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 52.4% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 47.59% ▼ (-0.15)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 68.37% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 0.5 31.63% ▲ (+0.96)
Over 1.5 31.96% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 1.5 68.04% ▲ (+1.11)

Score analysis

Notts County 51.55%
Draw 23.51%
Salford City 24.94%
Notts County
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.51%
Salford City
1-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.16)
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.94%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 20
Salford City
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Moor Lane
Notts County
  • Conor McAleny 14' goal
  • Cole Stockton 31' goal
  • Kelly N'Mai 47' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 54' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 86'
  • yellowcard Alassana Jatta 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 40
Notts County
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City
  • Dan Crowley 53' goal
  • goal Conor McAleny 31'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 49'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 80'
  • goal Conor McAleny 87'
League Two Gameweek 8
Salford City
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
Notts County
  • Ethan Ingram 76' yellowcard
  • Conor McAleny 84' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 86' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 87' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 90'+3' redcard
  • goal David McGoldrick 37'
  • goal Dan Crowley 63'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 68'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 89'
  • redcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'

Form Data

Colchester 1 - 0 Notts County
Notts County 3 - 0 MK Dons
Newport 0 - 2 Notts County
Notts County 0 - 0 Crewe
Notts County 1 - 2 Chesterfield
Grimsby Town 0 - 2 Notts County
Salford City 2 - 2 Gillingham
Barrow 1 - 1 Salford City
Bromley 2 - 3 Salford City
Grimsby Town 0 - 1 Salford City
Salford City 0 - 4 Chesterfield
Salford City 1 - 1 Crewe