AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Barrow
Bradford City
Bradford City
Bromley
Bromley
Carlisle United
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
MK Dons
Morecambe
Morecambe
Newport County
Newport County
Notts County
Notts County
Port Vale
Port Vale
Salford City
Salford City
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Salford City

Barrow
1 - 1
Salford City

Smith (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stanway (69' og.)
Ashley (3'), Tilt (37'), Warrington (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Barrow and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawSalford City
44.68% (-1.826 -1.83)26.74% (0.083000000000002 0.08)28.58% (1.736 1.74)
Both teams to score 49.4% (0.897 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (0.597 0.6)55.23% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (0.488 0.49)76.46% (-0.494 -0.49)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.622 -0.62)24.6% (0.616 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.876 -0.88)59.11% (0.869 0.87)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (1.713 1.71)34.48% (-1.719 -1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (1.783 1.78)71.19% (-1.79 -1.79)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44.67%
    Salford City 28.58%
    Draw 26.73%
BarrowDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.508 -0.51)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.67%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.343 0.34)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.326 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.226 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.58%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Salford City
3-0
Barrow
Garbutt (21'), Fornah (33'), Kouassi (80')
Stockton (9'), Fornah (37'), Lund (37')
Fornah (84')

Feely (37'), Ashley (73'), Popov (73')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Salford City
5-3
Barrow
Hendry (26', 67'), McAleny (57'), Smith (77', 86')
Luamba (40'), Watt (54'), John (62')
Stockton (42', 90'), Warren (47')
Worrall (87')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Barrow
0-0
Salford City
Gotts (2'), Spence (31')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Barrow
1-1
Salford City
Vassell (70' og.)
Watson (12' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Salford City
1-1
Barrow
Smith (26')
Stevens (79')