Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.