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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 35.68% ( | 25.33% ( | 38.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% | 47.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( | 69.5% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( | 25.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( | 60.69% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( | 23.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( | 58.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.99% |