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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
| 49.43% ( | 26.03% ( | 24.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% ( | 55.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% ( | 76.33% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( | 22.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( | 55.79% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% ( | 37.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.45% ( | 74.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.42% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 4% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.54% |