League Two Gameweek 44
Doncaster
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
Colchester
  • Harry Clifton 9' goal
  • Harry Clifton 9' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 22' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 22' goal
  • Jack Senior 51' yellowcard
  • Jack Senior 51' yellowcard
  • Patrick Kelly 90'+1' goal
  • Patrick Kelly 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Owura Edwards 25'
  • yellowcard Owura Edwards 25'
  • yellowcard Kyrell Lisbie 61'
  • yellowcard Kyrell Lisbie 61'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 70'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 70'
  • redcard Owura Edwards 80'
  • redcard Owura Edwards 80'

Doncaster Rovers vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Tranmere 0 - 3 Doncaster
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Luke Molyneux

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Colchester 0 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result

Doncaster Rovers 49.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 26.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Colchester United 24.54% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.34% ▼ (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.93% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 55.07% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 23.67% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 76.33% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 10.53% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 89.47% ▲ (+0.14)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 77.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 44.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 55.79% ▲ (+0.10)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 37.77% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 25.45% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 74.55% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 49.42%
Draw 26.03%
Colchester United 24.54%
Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.03%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Colchester
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Doncaster
  • Lyle Taylor 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jamie McDonnell 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 51' goal
  • Oscar Thorn 60' yellowcard
  • Ellis Iandolo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Sterry 32'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 40'
  • yellowcard Owen Bailey 42'
  • yellowcard Jordan Gibson 69'
  • redcard Jordan Gibson 80'
League Two Gameweek 38
Colchester
Apr 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Doncaster
  • Jayden Fevrier 9' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 13' yellowcard
  • Riley Harbottle 75' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Molyneux 14'
  • yellowcard Jamie Sterry 17'
  • goal Harrison Biggins 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Ironside 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Harrison Biggins 73'
  • goal Tom Anderson 76'
  • goal Joe Ironside 85'
League Two Gameweek 20
Doncaster
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 2
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
Colchester
  • Tom Smith 33' goal
  • Tom Smith 33' goal
  • James Maxwell 33' goal
  • Joseph Olowu 63' yellowcard
  • Tommy Rowe 67' yellowcard
  • Mo Faal 73' goal
  • Joe Ironside 87' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hopper 22'
  • yellowcard Tom Hopper 22'
  • yellowcard Tom Hopper 22'
  • goal Joe Taylor 43'
  • goal Joe Taylor 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 51'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 51'
  • yellowcard Tom Smith 60'
  • yellowcard Bradley Ihionvien 79'
League Two Gameweek 45
Doncaster
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
Colchester
  • Tommy Rowe 30' goal
League Two Gameweek 19
Colchester
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Doncaster
  • Alex Newby 45'+1' goal
  • Samson Tovide 59' goal
  • Luke Hannant 89' goal
League Two
Colchester
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Doncaster
  • Brennan Dickenson 16' goal
  • Cameron James 48' yellowcard
  • Tom Eastman 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niall Mason 31'
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 42'
  • goal Mathieu Baudry 45'
  • yellowcard Alfie May 95'

Form Data

Tranmere 0 - 3 Doncaster
Salford City 1 - 1 Doncaster
Doncaster 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Cheltenham 0 - 2 Doncaster
Doncaster 2 - 2 Walsall
Doncaster 3 - 0 Carlisle
Colchester 0 - 0 Crewe
Newport 0 - 2 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 0 Notts County
Gillingham 1 - 1 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 2 Grimsby Town
Bradford 4 - 1 Colchester