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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 47.19% ( | 27.74% ( | 25.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% ( | 60.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.25% ( | 80.75% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% ( | 40.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.95% ( | 77.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 14.13% ( 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-2 @ 3.92% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.07% |