Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.