League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Matthew Baker 27' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Brennan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 72'
  • goal Fiacre Kelleher 88'
  • goal Anthony Scully 90'+4'

Newport County vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Carlisle 3 - 2 Newport
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Bobby Kamwa

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Colchester 1 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result

Newport County 26.49% (-0.02)
Draw 25.82% (-0.02)
Colchester United 47.68% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.66% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.11% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 52.88% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 25.5% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 74.49% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.67% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.32% (-0.04)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 65.1% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.89% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.63% (-0.02)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.41% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.59% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Newport County 26.49%
Draw 25.82%
Colchester United 47.67%
Newport County
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.82%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 47.67%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Mandela Egbo 19' yellowcard
  • Samson Tovide 51' yellowcard
  • Tom Flanagan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane McLoughlin 42'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Cameron McGeehan 67' yellowcard
  • Ellis Iandolo 75' goal
  • Samson Tovide 84' yellowcard
  • Jay Mingi 90'+2' goal
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 42'
  • yellowcard Lewis Payne 67'
  • yellowcard James Waite 81'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 3 3
FT Rodney Parade
  • Aaron Wildig 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 36' yellowcard
  • Shane McLoughlin 41' yellowcard
  • Shane McLoughlin 41' yellowcard
  • Shane McLoughlin 41' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 43' goal
  • Will Evans 43' goal
  • Will Evans 43' goal
  • Omar Bogle 63' goal
  • Omar Bogle 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 18'
  • yellowcard Ben Garner 19'
  • yellowcard Ben Garner 19'
  • goal Samson Tovide 34'
  • goal Samson Tovide 34'
  • goal Samson Tovide 34'
  • redcard Arthur Read 89'
  • redcard Arthur Read 89'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Kieran O'Hara 28' goal
  • Aaron Lewis 76' goal
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Will Evans 7' goal