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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Colchester United

Newport
0 - 2
Colchester


Baker (27'), Brennan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelleher (88'), Scully (90+4')
Simpson (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Newport
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawColchester United
26.49% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)25.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)47.68% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.66% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.88% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (0.043000000000003 0.04)74.49% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)71.63% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (0.035000000000011 0.04)22.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (0.052999999999997 0.05)55.59% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 26.49%
    Colchester United 47.67%
    Draw 25.82%
Newport CountyDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.49%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.67%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Egbo (19'), Tovide (51'), Flanagan (90')
McLoughlin (42'), Morris (90+3')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
2-1
Newport
Iandolo (75'), Mingi (90+2')
McGeehan (67'), Tovide (84')
Zanzala (42')
Payne (67'), Waite (81')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
2-1
Colchester
Evans (43'), Bogle (63')
Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41')
Tovide (34')
Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Newport
2-0
Colchester
O'Hara (28' og.), Lewis (76')
> Preview