League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
3 - 2
Newport

Kelly (33', 59'), Hayden (84')
Hayden (75'), Bevan (90+4'), Dennis (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Evans (26'), Kamwa (28')
Martin (75')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bromley
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.94%).

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
61.21% ( 2.75)	22.65% ( -0.84)	16.14% ( -1.9)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

0.37)

51.96% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

0.32)

73.7% (

-0.31)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

1.1)

16.54% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.69% (

1.93)

46.31% (

-1.93)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.9% (

-2.18)

45.1% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.98% (

-1.79)

81.02% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 61.2%

Newport County 16.14%

Draw 22.64%

Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.8% Total : 61.2%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.14%