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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Port Vale

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Port Vale


Bugiel (45+3'), Hutchinson (58'), Lewis (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockley (64'), Headley (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPort Vale
43.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)28.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.42%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 43.4%
    Port Vale 28.32%
    Draw 28.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.37%
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 28.32%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale

AFC Wimbledon
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Port Vale
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Cover (9'), Richards (11'), Stockley (62')
Debrah (19'), Stockley (64'), Lowe (75'), Baker-Boatiey (87'), Ripley (90+2')
Neufville (61'), Hippolyte (78')
Lewis (11'), Jackson (12')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Smith (21'), Eagles (69')
Eagles (48')

Barcham (17'), Robinson (58')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Port Vale
Poleon (53'), Elliott (58'), Barnett (85'), Robertson (89')
Francomb (16'), Parrett (66')

Amoros (18'), Streete (60'), De Freitas (81'), Kelly (82')
Feb 5, 2013 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-0
AFC Wimbledon
Vincent (35', 75'), Hughes (13')
Jan 24, 2013 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Port Vale
Midson (8', 42' pen.)
Ajala (20')
Jones (44'), Pope (58')
Chilvers (42'), Loft (71')
rhs 2.0


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