League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

Tolaj (78'), Debrah (90+5')
Clark (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rose (24', 52' pen.)
Svanthorsson (40'), McEachran (62'), Rodgers (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Port Vale
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-4 Swindon
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Grimsby Town
46.37% ( -0.42)	26.3% ( 0.1)	27.32% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 49.87% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.78% (

-0.22)

54.22% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.37% (

-0.18)

75.62% (

0.18)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-0.29)

23.35% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-0.42)

57.31% (

0.41)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

0.13)

34.93% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

0.14)

71.67% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 46.37%

Grimsby Town 27.32%

Draw 26.29%

Port Vale	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.37%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.32%