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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Grimsby Town

Port Vale
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

Tolaj (78'), Debrah (90+5')
Clark (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rose (24', 52' pen.)
Svanthorsson (40'), McEachran (62'), Rodgers (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Port Vale
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-4 Swindon
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Grimsby Town

With both sides desperate for much-needed points, we can only envisage a fiercely contested match, but with Port Vale being the favourites and considering the quality within their ranks, we reckon the hosts will earn a 2-0 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawGrimsby Town
46.37% (-0.417 -0.42) 26.3% (0.104 0.1) 27.32% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (-0.217 -0.22)54.22% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37% (-0.18 -0.18)75.62% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-0.286 -0.29)23.35% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)57.31% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (0.13499999999999 0.13)34.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (0.144 0.14)71.67% (-0.148 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 46.37%
    Grimsby Town 27.32%
    Draw 26.29%
Port ValeDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Grimsby Town

Port Vale
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Grimsby Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
3-0
Port Vale
McJannett (29'), Tharme (82'), Svanthorsson (90+2')
Artell (16'), Davies (71')

Debrah (15')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
1-0
Port Vale
Green (32')
Green (45')

Legge (54'), Montano (83')
Montano (87')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Port Vale
3-0
Grimsby Town
Brisley (8'), Rodney (15'), Waterfall (60' og.)
Joyce (11'), Brisley (69')

Wright (86')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Grimsby Town
5-2
Port Vale
Cook (20'), Ogbu (51'), Green (57'), Waterfall (80'), Hanson (86')
Whitehouse (72'), Hewitt (90')
Whitehouse (13' og.), Smith (62')
Worrall (55'), Joyce (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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