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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Swindon Town

Grimsby Town
0 - 4
Swindon


David Turi (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nichols (8'), Clarke (32'), Tshimanga (65'), Ameen (90+5')
Clarke (76'), Freckleton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 5-4 Bradford
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Swindon Town

As two of the form teams in the division, we are expecting an entertaining fixture between these sides. Swindon have frequently proven that they can upset the odds since Holloway's arrival, and we are backing a high-scoring draw to be played out at Blundell Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
43.84% (0.23 0.23) 26.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 30.01% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.43 -0.43)52.29% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.37 -0.37)73.98% (0.372 0.37)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.72% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.111 -0.11)57.85% (0.114 0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)31.87% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.505 -0.5)68.31% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.83%
    Swindon Town 30.01%
    Draw 26.14%
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Swindon

Grimsby Town
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Swindon Town
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
3-1
Grimsby Town
Clarke (3'), Tshimanga (41', 60')
Cox (39'), Clarke (66')
Rose (71' pen.)
Hume (88')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
2-0
Swindon
Smith (75'), Wilson (85')
Holohan (69')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Swindon
2-1
Grimsby Town
Kemp (26'), Cain (64')
Blake-Tracy (60'), Hutton (90+4')
Wilson (69')
Clifton (62'), Rodgers (90+2')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
5-0
Grimsby Town
Austin (25'), Lavinier (62'), Williams (66'), Darcy (78'), Khan (88')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
1-2
Swindon
Taylor (25')
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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