League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
0 - 4
Swindon

David Turi (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nichols (8'), Clarke (32'), Tshimanga (65'), Ameen (90+5')
Clarke (76'), Freckleton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 5-4 Bradford
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Swindon Town
43.84% ( 0.23)	26.15% ( 0.07)	30.01% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.72% (

-0.43)

52.29% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.02% (

-0.37)

73.98% (

0.37)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

-0.08)

23.72% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

-0.11)

57.85% (

0.11)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.13% (

-0.44)

31.87% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.69% (

-0.5)

68.31% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 43.83%

Swindon Town 30.01%

Draw 26.14%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.01%