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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Bradford City

Swindon
5 - 4
Bradford

Byrne (22' og.), Tshimanga (45+4'), Smith (62', 90'), Shepherd (90+5' og.)
Butterworth (82'), (90+6'), Smith (90+3'), Smith (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Kavanagh (6', 10', 35'), Halliday (77')
Khela (30'), Halliday (64'), Shepherd (80'), Adaramola (82')
Smallwood (14')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-4 Swindon
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
37.96% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)26.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.38% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.040000000000006 0.04)52.97% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.040999999999997 0.04)28.64% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (0.049999999999997 0.05)64.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.96%
    Bradford City 35.38%
    Draw 26.65%
Swindon TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 37.96%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.38%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Bradford
1-0
Swindon
Kavanagh (24')
Pointon (74'), Sarcevic (81')

Smith (7'), McGregor (68')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-0
Bradford
Austin (17' pen.), Devoy (45+2')
Kokolo (45+4'), Khan (58')

Alexander (46'), Stubbs (49'), Smallwood (55')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bradford
1-0
Swindon
Pointon (50')
Walker (60'), Halliday (76'), Smallwood (89')

Khan (42'), Hutton (65'), Austin (76')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swindon
1-0
Bradford
Williams (82')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bradford
1-1
Swindon
Wright (31')
Jephcott (90+2')