/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fporlog_1.png)
-
Georgie Kelly
36'
-
Matthew Dennis
43'
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Aaron Hayden
49'
-
Stephen Wearne
79'
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Matthew Dennis
85'
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Aaron Hayden
86'
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Terell Thomas
90'+2'
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Ben Barclay
90'+4'
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Ben Barclay
90'+4'
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Matthew Dennis
90'+4'
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Jayden Stockley
61'
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George Byers
68'
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Sam Hart
70'
Carlisle United vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result
Carlisle United
34.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
27.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Port Vale
37.76%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
48.96%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.22%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
56.78%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
22.28%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
77.72%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
9.68%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
90.32%
▲
(+0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
69.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
30.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
32.71%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
67.29%
▲
(+0.07)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5
70.94%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
29.06%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
35.03%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
64.97%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
34.64%
Draw
27.59%
Port Vale
37.75%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.64%
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.64%
Draw
1-1
@
13.03%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.59%
0-0 @ 9% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.59%
Port Vale
0-1
@
11.12%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.75%
1-2 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.75%