MX23RW : Friday, May 16 18:02:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Port Vale

Carlisle
3 - 2
Port Vale

Kelly (36'), Dennis (43'), Hayden (49')
Wearne (79'), Dennis (85'), Hayden (86'), Barclay (90+4'), Barclay (90+4'), Thomas (90+2')
Dennis (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stockley (61'), Hart (70')
Byers (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 5-0 Bromley
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Port Vale

While Carlisle have showed signs of improvement in recent outings, Port Vale are undoubtedly the favourites and should comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPort Vale
34.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 27.59% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 37.76% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)56.78% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.121 -0.12)77.72% (0.121 0.12)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)30.99% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)67.29% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)29.06% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (-0.145 -0.14)64.97% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 34.64%
    Port Vale 37.75%
    Draw 27.59%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.75%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Port Vale

Carlisle United
15.8%
Draw
21.1%
Port Vale
63.2%
19
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Port Vale
0-0
Carlisle
Shorrock (30')
Jones (8'), Neal (29'), Harper (39'), Lavelle (90'), Mellish (90+2')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carlisle
2-1
Port Vale
Gibson (80' pen.), Mellish (90+3')
Robinson (23'), Mellish (45+1'), Moxon (51')
Garrity (49')
Iacovitti (33'), Wilson (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Port Vale
1-0
Carlisle
Wilson (50' pen.)
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Carlisle
1-3
Port Vale
Windsor (21')
Worrall (1'), Wilson (43'), Amoo (81')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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