League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
3 - 2
Port Vale

Kelly (36'), Dennis (43'), Hayden (49')
Wearne (79'), Dennis (85'), Hayden (86'), Barclay (90+4'), Barclay (90+4'), Thomas (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stockley (61'), Hart (70')
Byers (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 5-0 Bromley
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Port Vale
34.65% ( 0.03)	27.59% ( 0.04)	37.76% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.22% (

-0.15)

56.78% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.28% (

-0.12)

77.72% (

0.12)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

-0.05)

30.99% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

-0.06)

67.29% (

0.06)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

-0.12)

29.06% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03% (

-0.14)

64.97% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 34.64%

Port Vale 37.75%

Draw 27.59%

Carlisle United	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.64%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.75%