/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
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Lee Angol
36'
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Georgie Kelly
28'
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Callum Whelan
38'
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Terell Thomas
60'
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Gabriel Breeze
75'
Morecambe vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result
Morecambe
40.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
27.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Carlisle United
32.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.24%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
55.01%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
23.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
76.28%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
10.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
89.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
73.07%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
26.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
37.74%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
62.26%
▲
(+0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
68.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
31.24%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
32.41%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
67.58%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Morecambe
40.01%
Draw
27.07%
Carlisle United
32.91%
Morecambe
1-0
@
11.03%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.01%
2-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.01%
Draw
1-1
@
12.84%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
9.79%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.91%
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.91%
