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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Carlisle United

Morecambe
0 - 2
Carlisle


Angol (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelly (28'), Thomas (60')
Whelan (38'), Breeze (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Newport
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
40.01% (-0.058 -0.06)27.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)55.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)76.28% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)26.93% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (-0.055 -0.05)62.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.58% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 40.01%
    Carlisle United 32.91%
    Draw 27.07%
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.91%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carlisle
0-1
Morecambe

Ellis (60')
Mellish (62')
Edwards (61')
Hendrie (36'), Lewis (89'), Tutonda (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
1-2
Carlisle
Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')