Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 1Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
37
We said: Derby County 1-0 Luton Town
Rather blunt in front of net this season, Luton will be preparing for the worst at Pride Park, where Derby recently held Premier League-bound Burnley to a goalless draw. Eustace's side will view Good Friday's clash as a massive opportunity to put some breathing space between themselves and the bottom three before a pair of tricky away matches to conclude April. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Luton Town |
40.51% ( -2.49) | 28.32% ( 0.77) | 31.17% ( 1.71) |
| Both teams to score 46.09% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
