Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 2
Derby

Atkinson (71', 90+1')
Swanson (27'), Hayden (33'), Saydee (68'), Bishop (69'), Atkinson (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yates (70'), Atkinson (75' og.)
Widell Zetterstrom (6'), Clarke (21'), Mendez-Laing (34'), Adams (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Burnley
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Derby County
47.12% ( 0.1)	26.41% ( -0.03)	26.47% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.92% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

0.07)

55.15% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

0.05)

76.39% (

-0.06)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.07)

23.4% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61% (

0.11)

57.39% (

-0.11)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

-0.02)

36.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.02)

72.92% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 47.11%

Derby County 26.47%

Draw 26.41%

Portsmouth	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.11%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.47%