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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Sondre Langas
33'
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Ebou Adams
90'+3'
Derby County vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
27.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
29.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Burnley
42.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
41.55%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
35.03%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
64.97%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
16.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
83.87%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
6.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
93.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
59.68%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
40.31%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
23.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
76.93%
▼
(-0.03)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
69.61%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
30.38%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
33.42%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
66.58%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Derby County
27.99%
Draw
29.54%
Burnley
42.45%
Derby County
1-0
@
11.12%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 27.99%
2-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 27.99%
Draw
1-1
@
13.25%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.54%
0-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.54%
Burnley
0-1
@
14.59%
▼
(-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.45%
0-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.45%
Chris Martin
43'