Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 16' goal

Burnley vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Swansea 0 - 2 Burnley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Josh Brownhill

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2025 8.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result

Burnley 52.36% (-0.28)
Draw 26.13% (+0.10)
Bristol City 21.51% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.82% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.03% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 57.97% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 21.33% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 78.66% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 9.11% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 90.88% (+0.08)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 77.74% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 22.25% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 44.3% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 55.69% (+0.29)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 57.65% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.35% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 21.26% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 78.73% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Burnley 52.35%
Draw 26.12%
Bristol City 21.51%
Burnley
1-0 @ 14.16% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.42% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.12%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 8.1% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.23% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.48% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 21.51%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Luke McNally 22' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Scott Twine 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Jaidon Anthony 23'
  • yellowcard Maxime Esteve 67'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 69'
  • yellowcard James Trafford 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 74'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Tommy Conway 60' goal
  • goal Manuel Benson 33'
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 62'
Championship Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Manuel Benson 4' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 67' goal
  • goal Nahki Wells 27'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 45' goal
  • James Tarkowski 67' yellowcard
  • Steven Defour 68' goal
  • Tendayi Darikwa 92' yellowcard
Championship
Dec 28, 2015 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andre Gray 37' goal
  • Andre Gray 45' goal
  • David Jones 45' yellowcard
  • Scott Arfield 71' goal
  • Andre Gray 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Baker 32'
Championship
Aug 29, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jonathan Kodjia 95' goal
  • goal Ben Mee 34'
  • goal Michael Keane 40'