Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 0
Bristol City

Flemming (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Norwich
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Bristol City
52.36% ( -0.27)	26.13% ( 0.1)	21.51% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.03% (

-0.18)

57.97% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33% (

-0.14)

78.66% (

0.14)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.19)

22.25% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

-0.28)

55.69% (

0.28)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.65% (

0.08)

42.35% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.26% (

0.07)

78.73% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Burnley 52.35%

Bristol City 21.51%

Draw 26.12%

Burnley	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.35%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.51%