Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.