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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Norwich logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Norwich

Sykes (6'), Wells (23')
Knight (34'), Williams (36'), O'Leary (90+2'), Dickie (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sainz (82')
Fisher (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
52.84% (-0.435 -0.43)25.7% (0.163 0.16)21.46% (0.269 0.27)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.328 -0.33)56.49% (0.325 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.266 -0.27)77.49% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.316 -0.32)21.44% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-0.487 -0.49)54.46% (0.485 0.48)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (0.091000000000001 0.09)41.54% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.079999999999998 0.08)78.04% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 52.83%
    Norwich City 21.46%
    Draw 25.69%
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.46%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Norwich

Bristol City
58.6%
Draw
11.7%
Norwich City
29.7%
128
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Norwich
0-2
Bristol City

Fisher (36'), Sainz (69')
Mehmeti (16'), Wells (63')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
1-1
Bristol City
Sainz (58')
Mehmeti (90+5')
Roberts (55')
Williams (90+2'), McLean (90+4')
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-2
Norwich
Knight (34')
Tanner (72')
Tanner (59' og.), Idah (90+5')
Duffy (26')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich
Placheta (49')
Giannoulis (79'), Forshaw (86'), Barnes (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bristol City
1-0
Norwich
Sykes (24')