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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Portsmouth

Coventry
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Paterson (90+4')
Paterson (90+6'), Paterson (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murphy (37'), Ogilvie (69'), Bramall (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Coventry City.

Result
Coventry CityDrawPortsmouth
57.99% (-0.444 -0.44)22.15% (0.254 0.25)19.85% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.22% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (-0.845 -0.84)44.28% (0.849 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)66.66% (0.82900000000001 0.83)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)14.98% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (-0.816 -0.82)43.43% (0.82 0.82)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.287 -0.29)36.22% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.294 -0.29)73.01% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 57.99%
    Portsmouth 19.85%
    Draw 22.15%
Coventry CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 57.99%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.31% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.85%

How you voted: Coventry vs Portsmouth

Coventry City
83.7%
Draw
10.9%
Portsmouth
5.4%
92
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Portsmouth
4-1
Coventry
Lang (14', 43', 48', 55')
Pack (32')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Portsmouth
0-2
Coventry
Gyokeres (54'), Panzo (72')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Coventry
1-0
Portsmouth
Godden (84')

McGeehan (20'), Close (57')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Portsmouth
3-3
Coventry
Curtis (10'), Marquis (43'), Evans (56')
Naylor (85'), Marquis (88')
Hiwula (3'), Godden (75' pen.), Rose (86')
Dabo (35'), McFadzean (38'), Kastaneer (71')
Dabo (59'), Kastaneer (78')
Apr 22, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 44
Portsmouth
2-1
Coventry
Naylor (66'), Pitman (83')
Hiwula (9')
Burge (57')