World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Municipal

CAR
0 - 0
Mali

Oualengbe Bisse (12'), Romeo Namgbema (81'), Mafouta (90+3')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Central African Republic and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 1-4 Madagascar
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 0-3 Mali
Thursday, March 20 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Mali
22.07% ( -0.12)	27.42% ( -0.04)	50.51% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 42.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.26% (

0.03)

61.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.45% (

0.02)

81.54% (

-0.02)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.04% (

-0.11)

43.96% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.91% (

-0.09)

80.09% (

0.09)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

0.09)

24.71% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74% (

0.12)

59.26% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 22.07%

Mali 50.5%

Draw 27.42%

Central African Republic	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.07%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 15.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 50.5%