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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 14.02% ( | 15.87% ( | 70.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.2% ( | 24.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.34% ( | 44.66% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( | 66.72% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.58% ( | 6.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.96% ( | 24.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.79% ( 1-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-1 @ 1.5% ( 2-0 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 14.02% | 1-1 @ 6.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0-0 @ 1.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.87% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 1-3 @ 8.02% ( 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-3 @ 6.76% ( 1-4 @ 5.51% ( 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 2-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-4 @ 4.64% ( 2-4 @ 3.27% ( 1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0-5 @ 2.55% ( 2-5 @ 1.8% ( 1-6 @ 1.38% ( 3-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-6 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 4.42% Total : 70.11% |