Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 2
Hoffenheim

Holer (28', 57'), Doan (36')
Osterhage (59'), Holer (72'), Doan (74')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Bulter (45+2'), Kramaric (45+5')
Nsoki (39'), Bischof (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
52.2% ( -0.39)	22.5% ( -0.06)	25.3% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 60.44% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.53% (

0.72)

39.47% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.19% (

0.75)

61.81% (

-0.75)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

0.13)

15.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.1% (

0.24)

43.9% (

-0.24)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

0.74)

28.69% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

0.91)

64.52% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 52.2%

Hoffenheim 25.3%

Draw 22.49%

Freiburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.43% Total : 25.3%