Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.