Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.