Arminia Bielefeld logos
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
SchucoArena
Werder Bremen logo

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Worl (35'), Malatini (41' og.)
Felix (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Burke (56')
Weiser (32'), Bittencourt (53'), Malatini (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Werder Bremen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arminia Bielefeld in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arminia Bielefeld.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawWerder Bremen
50.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)22.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)27.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 62.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)61.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 50.47%
    Werder Bremen 27.04%
    Draw 22.49%
Arminia BielefeldDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57%
1-4 @ 0.98%
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Werder Bremen

Arminia Bielefeld
59.6%
Draw
21.3%
Werder Bremen
19.1%
47
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Arminia Bielefeld
0-2
Werder Bremen

Pieper (90+6')
de Medina (71')
Sargent (47'), Mohwald (75')
Friedl (35'), Eggestein (87')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
1-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Bittencourt (27')
Friedl (40'), Eggestein (90+1')

Lucoqui (52'), van der Hoorn (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2015 6pm
Third Round
Arminia Bielefeld
3-1
Werder Bremen
Junglas (32', 84'), Schuppan (57')
Borner (63')
Fritz (76')
Garcia (17'), Fritz (67'), Bartels (92')
Fritz (89')
> Match Report