Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.