Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Mainz

Kramaric (4', 32')
Chaves (23'), Nsoki (45+2'), Bischof (75'), Baumann (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nebel (49')
Nebel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
44.31% ( 0)	23.97% ( 0.01)	31.72% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.13% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

-0.04)

42.01% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59% (

-0.04)

64.41% (

0.04)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

-0.01)

19.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13% (

-0.02)

50.86% (

0.03)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-0.03)

25.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

-0.04)

60.47% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 44.31%

Mainz 05 31.72%

Draw 23.96%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.31%	1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.72%