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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
| 48.01% ( | 23.36% ( | 28.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( | 40.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( | 63.22% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( | 17.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.45% ( | 47.55% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( | 27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( | 62.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.63% |