Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Weiper (75')
Mwene (33'), Henriksen (81'), Jenz (84'), Amiri (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bernhardsson (34')
Zec (44'), Remberg (51'), Becker (85'), Rosenboom (90+2'), Rosenboom (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it is 1-2 (5.05%).

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Holstein Kiel
60.33% ( -1)	21.1% ( 0.42)	18.57% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 55.49% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

-0.99)

41.49% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1% (

-1.01)

63.89% (

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65% (

-0.61)

13.34% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.78% (

-1.23)

40.21% (

1.22)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.03% (

0.04)

35.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26% (

0.05)

72.73% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 60.33%

Holstein Kiel 18.57%

Draw 21.1%

Mainz 05	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.33%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 18.57%