Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Mainz
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
Holstein Kiel
  • Phillipp Mwene 33' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 75' goal
  • Bo Henriksen 81' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 84' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Bernhardsson 34'
  • yellowcard David Zec 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Remberg 51'
  • yellowcard Timo Becker 85'
  • yellowcard Lasse Rosenboom 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lasse Rosenboom 90'+2'

Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 4.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 0 - 3 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it is 1-2 (5.05%).

Result

Mainz 05 60.33% ▼ (-0.53)
Draw 21.1% ▲ (+0.21)
Holstein Kiel 18.57% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.49% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.5% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 41.49% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 3.5 36.1% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 63.89% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 19.1% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 80.9% ▲ (+0.33)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 86.65% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 13.34% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 59.78% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 40.21% ▲ (+0.59)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 64.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 35.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 27.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 72.73% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 60.33%
Draw 21.1%
Holstein Kiel 18.57%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 60.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.1%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 18.57%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Holstein Kiel
Nov 24, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
Mainz
  • Patrick Erras 56' yellowcard
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 11'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 53'
DFB-Pokal
Mainz
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
3
2
ET
Holstein Kiel
  • Suat Serdar 10' yellowcard
  • Viktor Fischer 22' goal
  • Fabian Frei 49' yellowcard
  • Viktor Fischer 67' goal
  • Daniel Brosinski 101' goal
  • Robin Zentner 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominick Drexler 6'
  • goal Kingsley Schindler 54'
  • goal Dominick Drexler 74'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 90'

Form Data

Dortmund 3 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 2 Freiburg
Borussia M'bach 1 - 3 Mainz
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 St Pauli
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Mainz
Holstein Kiel 0 - 3 Werder Bremen
Heidenheim 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Union Berlin 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Frankfurt 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel