Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Heidenheim
Mar 16, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Voith-Arena
Holstein Kiel
  • Marvin Pieringer 33' goal
  • Budu Zivzivadze 47' goal
  • Omar Traore 57' yellowcard
  • Sirlord Conteh 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Komenda 54'
  • yellowcard Phil Harres 78'
  • yellowcard Jann-Fiete Arp 85'
  • goal Phil Harres 87'

Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marvin Pieringer

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result

Heidenheim 42.13% ▼ (-0.39)
Draw 24.32% ▲ (+0.23)
Holstein Kiel 33.54% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.57% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.96% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 43.04% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 3.5 34.56% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 65.44% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 4.5 17.93% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 4.5 82.06% ▲ (+0.74)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 1.5 46.9% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 1.5 53.1% ▲ (+0.94)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 75% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 24.99% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 40.35% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 59.64% ▲ (+0.53)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 42.13%
Draw 24.32%
Holstein Kiel 33.54%
Heidenheim
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 42.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 33.54%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Holstein Kiel
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
Heidenheim
  • Patrick Erras 28' goal
  • Armin Gigovic 35' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Remberg 38' yellowcard
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 59' yellowcard
  • Magnus Knudsen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tim Siersleben 18'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 33'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mainka 68'
  • yellowcard Jan Schoppner 70'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 76'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Heidenheim
Apr 23, 2023 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Patrick Mainka 2' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 68' goal
  • Jan-Niklas Beste 75' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Holstein Kiel
Oct 16, 2022 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Heidenheim
  • Steven Skrzybski 45' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 51' goal
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 66' goal
  • goal Denis Thomalla 31'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Holstein Kiel
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Heidenheim
  • Simon Lorenz 37' yellowcard
  • Simon Lorenz 56' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Husing 62'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schimmer 68'
  • goal Tim Kleindienst 71'
  • yellowcard Andreas Geipl 84'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Heidenheim
Nov 21, 2021 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Christian Kuhlwetter 1' goal
  • Andreas Geipl 35' yellowcard
  • Robert Leipertz 85' goal
  • goal Fin Bartels 30'
  • yellowcard Alexander Muhling 39'
  • yellowcard Phil Neumann 87'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Heidenheim
Apr 6, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Tim Kleindienst 17' goal
  • Christian Kuhlwetter 44' yellowcard
  • Marc Schnatterer 90' yellowcard

Form Data

Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 0 - 3 Borussia M'bach
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 1 - 3 Copenhagen
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Mainz
Copenhagen 1 - 2 Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Union Berlin 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Frankfurt 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 VfL Bochum
Bayern 4 - 3 Holstein Kiel