Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-3 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.