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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 41.11% ( | 22.62% ( | 36.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.97% ( | 34.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.11% ( | 55.89% ( |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( | 17.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.42% ( | 47.58% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( | 19.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.8% ( | 51.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.27% |