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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Werder Bremen logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 3
Werder Bremen


Rosenboom (16'), Remberg (24'), Ivezic (26'), Bernhardsson (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ducksch (25'), Agu (59'), Grull (90+3')
Stage (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, March 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawWerder Bremen
41.11% (0.228 0.23)22.62% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)36.27% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 66.7% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (0.45700000000001 0.46)34.03% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.11% (0.516 0.52)55.89% (-0.511 -0.51)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.28400000000001 0.28)17.26% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.49299999999999 0.49)47.58% (-0.489 -0.49)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (0.143 0.14)19.39% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (0.23099999999999 0.23)51.2% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 41.11%
    Werder Bremen 36.27%
    Draw 22.62%
Holstein KielDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.8% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.27%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen

Holstein Kiel
76.9%
Draw
3.8%
Werder Bremen
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Werder Bremen
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Stage (36'), Burke (89')
Friedl (25'), Stage (30'), Lynen (50')
Harres (48')
Ivezic (68'), Knudsen (90+2')
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0


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