Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.