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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Sesko (24'), Baku (43'), Poulsen (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bischof (11')
Toure (4'), Chaves (72'), Orban (90')
Skiri Oestigaard (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Hoffenheim win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
62.41% (1.483 1.48)19.27% (-0.62 -0.62)18.32% (-0.864 -0.86)
Both teams to score 61.72% (0.664 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.83% (1.588 1.59)33.17% (-1.591 -1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08% (1.801 1.8)54.92% (-1.803 -1.8)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.75% (0.84399999999999 0.84)10.25% (-0.847 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41% (1.893 1.89)33.59% (-1.896 -1.9)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.23% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (0.11 0.11)67.57% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 62.41%
    Hoffenheim 18.32%
    Draw 19.27%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.192 0.19)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.27% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.18% (0.251 0.25)
4-0 @ 3.59% (0.208 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.153 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.91% (0.177 0.18)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.149 0.15)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.105 0.11)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig
78.9%
Draw
13.2%
Hoffenheim
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Hoffenheim
4-3
RB Leipzig
Hlozek (17', 82'), Bischof (50'), Bruun Larsen (87')
Kramaric (75'), Kaderabek (90')
Orban (15'), Nusa (19'), Nsoki (67' og.)
Lukeba (85')
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Hoffenheim
1-1
RB Leipzig
Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')
Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
rhs 2.0


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