Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 3
Bayern

Sesko (11'), Klostermann (39'), Poulsen (90+4')
Raum (50'), Kampl (77'), Kampl (78'), Vermeeren (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dier (62'), Olise (63'), Sane (83')
Dier (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
21.05% ( 0.08)	19.51% ( -0.1)	59.44% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 65.88% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.04% (

0.63)

29.96% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.85% (

0.76)

51.14% (

-0.77)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

0.44)

26.77% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.58)

62.05% (

-0.59)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97% (

0.19)

10.03% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.91% (

0.45)

33.09% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 21.05%

Bayern Munich 59.44%

Draw 19.51%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 21.05%	1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.51%	1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.72% Total : 59.44%