Bundesliga Gameweek 32
RB Leipzig
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Benjamin Sesko 11' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 39' goal
  • David Raum 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 78' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 89' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90'+4' goal
  • goal Eric Dier 62'
  • goal Michael Olise 63'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 73'
  • goal Leroy Sane 83'

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
Frankfurt 4 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
Bayern 3 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 21.05% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 19.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Bayern Munich 59.44% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.88% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.04% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 29.96% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 48.85% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 3.5 51.14% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 4.5 29.69% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 4.5 70.3% ▼ (-0.70)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 73.23% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 26.77% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 1.5 37.95% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 62.05% ▼ (-0.59)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 89.97% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 10.03% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 66.91% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 33.09% ▼ (-0.46)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 21.05%
Draw 19.51%
Bayern Munich 59.44%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 21.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.51%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 59.44%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Jamal Musiala 1' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 20' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 25' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 36' goal
  • Michael Olise 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 60' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 75' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 78' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 2'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Bayern
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 37' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 56' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 59' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 41'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 67'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 54' yellowcard
  • Castello Lukeba 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 38'
  • yellowcard Sven Ulreich 44'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 51'
  • goal Harry Kane 57'
  • goal Leroy Sane 70'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 72'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 81'
DFL-Supercup
Bayern
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Benjamin Pavard 13' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 34' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 3'
  • goal Dani Olmo 44'
  • goal Dani Olmo 68'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 71'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Bayern
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Serge Gnabry 25' goal
  • goal Konrad Laimer 64'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 76'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Bayern
  • Marcel Halstenberg 52' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 37'

Form Data

Frankfurt 4 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Wolfsburg 2 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Stuttgart 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
Borussia M'bach 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
Bayern 3 - 0 Mainz
Heidenheim 0 - 4 Bayern
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 2 Dortmund
Bayern 1 - 2 Inter Milan
Augsburg 1 - 3 Bayern